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    Sticky: What expense? It doesn't affect you in the...

    What expense? It doesn't affect you in the least, so long as you could fit the years in when the trade happened.
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    If they don't extend the QO (which will probably...

    If they don't extend the QO (which will probably be too expensive for them), he'll be an UFA next summer.
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    No, it doesn't. As I outlined in some detail in...

    No, it doesn't. As I outlined in some detail in the OP, the model has as few of my own assumptions as possible. It takes a direct pro-rate of last year's minutes.

    My concern is as soon as I...
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    I usually use stats to make these predictions. ...

    I usually use stats to make these predictions. My game by game approach won't work until we have enough games played to have a real standard deviation, but I can do something similar but simpler.
    ...
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    Big ifs. But I agree, I think they exceed the...

    Big ifs. But I agree, I think they exceed the predicted total, because the model assumes that players who only play 30 games will continue to only play 30 games.
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    So, I've updated this prediction based on all the...

    So, I've updated this prediction based on all the moves over the summer.

    East W L | West W L
    CLE 53 29 | GSW 68 14
    TOR 52 30 | HOU 62 20
    CHO 49 33 | LAC 58 24
    BOS 48 34 | SAS 57 25...
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    Yep.

    Yep.
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    I imagine the answer to that would be after the...

    I imagine the answer to that would be after the clearly stated 4 full years of development he was away from playing NBA ball suggested (by Masai) on draft night. He's still a year away if all goes...
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    Plus, BOS is a team that even with their win rate...

    Plus, BOS is a team that even with their win rate success has had that success built on a foundation of sand with a weak net rating.
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    He has a $100k guarantee. If either player will...

    He has a $100k guarantee. If either player will be waived, it will likely be after they earn that $100k. So, in McDaniels' case, about 12 days from now.
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    Sticky: Motiejunas waived. Tyson Chandler 1 year.

    Motiejunas waived. Tyson Chandler 1 year.
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    Sticky: Powell definitely benefited from his D-League...

    Powell definitely benefited from his D-League stint. He looked not ready at all early that season and much better after his time there.
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    Sticky: Wright 3 years Siakam 1 year Davis 1 year...

    Wright 3 years
    Siakam 1 year
    Davis 1 year
    Lauvergne 1 year
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    Active and inactive lists are basically...

    Active and inactive lists are basically meaningless until game night.

    But that aside, him being inactive just means he's not dressed. Which, I mean, is that unexpected?
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    I'm sure they'd bring either player back for the...

    I'm sure they'd bring either player back for the minimum if they can. But I also think they don't extend qualifying offers - both guys would very likely take the QO, and that would mean a...
  16. Including absolutely running them off the floor...

    Including absolutely running them off the floor after making one simple (late) adjustment, leaving aside the late-game turtling in game 6 to narrow that margin.
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    10/19: Chicago W 10/21: Philly W 10/23: @ San...

    10/19: Chicago W
    10/21: Philly W
    10/23: @ San Antonio L
    10/25: @ Golden State L
    10/27: @ LA Lakers W
    10/30: @ Portland W
    11/01: @ Denver L
    11/03: @ Utah W
    11/05: Washington W
    11/07: Chicago W
  18. Yeah, though to be fair those projected wins are...

    Yeah, though to be fair those projected wins are straight from their BPI system, not guesses from the power rankings guys. There are a few win number discrepancies all over the list.
  19. And Boston. Blech.

    And Boston. Blech.
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    The main question is whether both McKinnie and...

    The main question is whether both McKinnie and McDaniels stick around, but since both have 100k guaranteed, the team has 2-3 weeks into the season to decide whether to waive one or the other with no...
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    Poll: I see little reason to think he won't. He might...

    I see little reason to think he won't. He might fall short of his insane WS numbers from 15-16, but that's a high bar, and if he can improve his defence can make up the difference elsewhere.
  22. So close, and yet so far...

    So close, and yet so far...
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    Serge is definitely replacing Pat's minutes, but...

    Serge is definitely replacing Pat's minutes, but not against the same competition. Siakam playing against starters is a much bigger issue than him playing in bench units. While Pat showed he was...
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    Why would 50+ wins be surprising? We have more...

    Why would 50+ wins be surprising? We have more unproven youth overall, but not significantly so, and we actually have less unproven youth in more important roles. Last year we won 51 with a) Pascal...
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    Poll: Also, without shedding Carroll, no Miles. It's...

    Also, without shedding Carroll, no Miles. It's not the tax (though they got under that too) - it's the hard cap.
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