It's hard to proclaim that their dynasty is over. They are a lock for the conference finals and it would be silly to assume that the Pacers are the hands down favourite to win the series. Pretty much the same thing for whoever they face out of the West.
That said, I don't think that the Heat are a better team on paper than they are last year. All of their players are 1 year older and for a lot of their impact players (Wade, Allen, Battier) that's not a good thing. The advantages they got from their defense being new are no longer there. Teams have figured out how to play against. Not that it isn't still very good, just that teams have had more tape to watch and have more ideas on how to attack it. It's long odds for anyone one team to win it all, although someone has to.
Personally, I do think that Indy has better all around talent and more depth. They also have a range of players who can do a passable job of guarding Lebron in single converage (stephenson, george, granger, west). I don't think Lebron can beat Indy by himself (although he can beat every other eastern conference team). I think Maimi is going to need a number of huge games from their role players, and I'm not convinced that they'll get them. From what I've watched over the last 3 year's of playoff games I don't think the Heat make it to the finals. I'd be happy with either the Spurs,Thunder, Warriors or Blazers to advance out of the West. The second round in the West will be crazy this year.
That said, I don't think that the Heat are a better team on paper than they are last year. All of their players are 1 year older and for a lot of their impact players (Wade, Allen, Battier) that's not a good thing. The advantages they got from their defense being new are no longer there. Teams have figured out how to play against. Not that it isn't still very good, just that teams have had more tape to watch and have more ideas on how to attack it. It's long odds for anyone one team to win it all, although someone has to.
Personally, I do think that Indy has better all around talent and more depth. They also have a range of players who can do a passable job of guarding Lebron in single converage (stephenson, george, granger, west). I don't think Lebron can beat Indy by himself (although he can beat every other eastern conference team). I think Maimi is going to need a number of huge games from their role players, and I'm not convinced that they'll get them. From what I've watched over the last 3 year's of playoff games I don't think the Heat make it to the finals. I'd be happy with either the Spurs,Thunder, Warriors or Blazers to advance out of the West. The second round in the West will be crazy this year.
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