Many NBA writers and fans have questioned the wisdom of the contract that the Raptors gave to Amir this last summer of $30 million.
1. So I decided to compare his contract to those of Andy Varejao and Tyrus Thomas. The value of Varejao and Thomas contract are both about $10 million more than Johnson's new contract.
2. Then run Johnson and Varejao as well as Johnson and Thomas through the Hainline Player Swap Calculator (PSW) to determine what their respective sway Pythagorean Win Loss Records would be.
Here are their comparative salaries for the next five seasons.
Comp Sal --Varejao---Johnson
----------------------------------------
2010-11----7.0--------5.0
2011-12----7.7--------5.5
2012-13----8.4--------6.1
2013-14----9.0--------6.6
2014-15----9.7--------7.1
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Totals-----$41.8------$30.3
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Comp Sal --T. Thomas---Johnson
----------------------------------------
2010-11----6.6--------5.0
2011-12----7.3--------5.5
2012-13----8.0--------6.1
2013-14----8.7--------6.6
2014-15----9.4--------7.1
-------------------------------------
Totals-----$40.0------$30.3
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Varejao and Thomas will make about the same and each will make about $10 million more than Johnson
Hoopsworld Team Salaries
I then went to the Hainline Player Swap Calculator (PSC) and calculated what the Player Efficiency Stats Team Pythagorean Records would have been in 09-10 if
A. Johnson had played for Cleveland and Varejao had played for the Raptors
I ran the calculations both ways with each player being placed in the "Replace" and "With" category
When Toronto replaces Johnson with Varejao they pick up 2.9 wins
When Cleveland replaces Varejao with Johnson they pick up 0.1 wins
So both teams would have benefited by a swap of the two players before the 09-10 season but Toronto would have benefited more.
So the PSC is basically saying that last season Varejao was slightly better than Johnson in 09-10
B. Johnson had played for Charlotte and Thomas had played for the Raptors
When Toronto replaces Johnson with T. Thomas they pick up 0.2 wins
When Charlotte replaces T. Thomas with Johnson they pick up 4.5 wins
So both teams would have benefited by a swap of the two players before the 09-10 season but Charlotte would have benefited more.
So the PSC is basically saying that last season Johnson was better than T. Thomas in 09-10
Conclusion
It appears from the above analysis that Amir's contract from the Raptors perspective appears to be on par with Varejao's contract for the Cavs and better than Thomas' contract for the Bobcats.
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Just for the heck of it I did a Bosh for Amar'e swap
The Raptors would have picked up 6.2 wins last season if they had Amar'e rather than Bosh
The Suns would have dropped 5.8 wins last season with Bosh instead of Amar'e
P.S. I played around with Bargnani Swaps like Bargnani for Hibbert etc. Try it for yourself to see what the results are
1. So I decided to compare his contract to those of Andy Varejao and Tyrus Thomas. The value of Varejao and Thomas contract are both about $10 million more than Johnson's new contract.
2. Then run Johnson and Varejao as well as Johnson and Thomas through the Hainline Player Swap Calculator (PSW) to determine what their respective sway Pythagorean Win Loss Records would be.
Here are their comparative salaries for the next five seasons.
Comp Sal --Varejao---Johnson
----------------------------------------
2010-11----7.0--------5.0
2011-12----7.7--------5.5
2012-13----8.4--------6.1
2013-14----9.0--------6.6
2014-15----9.7--------7.1
-------------------------------------
Totals-----$41.8------$30.3
=============================
Comp Sal --T. Thomas---Johnson
----------------------------------------
2010-11----6.6--------5.0
2011-12----7.3--------5.5
2012-13----8.0--------6.1
2013-14----8.7--------6.6
2014-15----9.4--------7.1
-------------------------------------
Totals-----$40.0------$30.3
=============================
Varejao and Thomas will make about the same and each will make about $10 million more than Johnson
Hoopsworld Team Salaries
I then went to the Hainline Player Swap Calculator (PSC) and calculated what the Player Efficiency Stats Team Pythagorean Records would have been in 09-10 if
A. Johnson had played for Cleveland and Varejao had played for the Raptors
I ran the calculations both ways with each player being placed in the "Replace" and "With" category
When Toronto replaces Johnson with Varejao they pick up 2.9 wins
When Cleveland replaces Varejao with Johnson they pick up 0.1 wins
So both teams would have benefited by a swap of the two players before the 09-10 season but Toronto would have benefited more.
So the PSC is basically saying that last season Varejao was slightly better than Johnson in 09-10
B. Johnson had played for Charlotte and Thomas had played for the Raptors
When Toronto replaces Johnson with T. Thomas they pick up 0.2 wins
When Charlotte replaces T. Thomas with Johnson they pick up 4.5 wins
So both teams would have benefited by a swap of the two players before the 09-10 season but Charlotte would have benefited more.
So the PSC is basically saying that last season Johnson was better than T. Thomas in 09-10
Conclusion
It appears from the above analysis that Amir's contract from the Raptors perspective appears to be on par with Varejao's contract for the Cavs and better than Thomas' contract for the Bobcats.
======================
Just for the heck of it I did a Bosh for Amar'e swap
The Raptors would have picked up 6.2 wins last season if they had Amar'e rather than Bosh
The Suns would have dropped 5.8 wins last season with Bosh instead of Amar'e
P.S. I played around with Bargnani Swaps like Bargnani for Hibbert etc. Try it for yourself to see what the results are
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