What If We Don't Retain Lowry This Summer?

[Doc]

I guess losing to the Celtics last night has taken a little of the wind from behind our sails this morning seeing how things are unusually quiet. Anyhow, this isn't a discussion about Lowry (we already have a handful of threads about him at the moment), but more about what our back-up plan will be if we aren't able to bring him back next season. Just curious to know what members opinions are about moving forward sans Kyle Lowry.

Thoughts?

[Fully]

The first options that jump to mind would be:

A) Target a point guard in the draft, hope that they can step in and be serviceable right off the bat and supplement the position with either a re-signed Vasquez, one of Buycks/Stone, or a stop-gap type of guy you get this summer like a Hinrich or Livingston.

B) Grab one of the aforementioned stop-gap free agents (Hinrich, Livingston,Harris) and patch together enough minutes at the position with Vasquez/Buycks/Stone to hopefully keep the team's head above water.

C) Explore a trade for a point guard.

The first scenario would be my preferred option but has the highest amount of variance; will there be a non-point guard left on the board that Ujiri will feel he 'has' to pick? what point guards will be left when it's our time to draft? what type of quality minutes can you give a non-lottery PG in their first year?

It's a pretty sobering proposition when you think about it. As great as the recent run has been, the wheels could come off again pretty quickly this summer based on only one or two things. I think that's why some people still question whether this success is sustainable.

[KazanTheMan]

The first options that jump to mind would be:

A) Target a point guard in the draft, hope that they can step in and be serviceable right off the bat and supplement the position with either a re-signed Vasquez, one of Buycks/Stone, or a stop-gap type of guy you get this summer like a Hinrich or Livingston.

B) Grab one of the aforementioned stop-gap free agents (Hinrich, Livingston,Harris) and patch together enough minutes at the position with Vasquez/Buycks/Stone to hopefully keep the team's head above water.

C) Explore a trade for a point guard.

The first scenario would be my preferred option but has the highest amount of variance; will there be a non-point guard left on the board that Ujiri will feel he 'has' to pick? what point guards will be left when it's our time to draft? what type of quality minutes can you give a non-lottery PG in their first year?

It's a pretty sobering proposition when you think about it. As great as the recent run has been, the wheels could come off again pretty quickly this summer based on only one or two things. I think that's why some people still question whether this success is sustainable.

What he said.. haha.

[Axel]

Since I'm not even sold on bringing him back long term, drafting a talented PG this year is #1 priority.

[Doc]

A) Target a point guard in the draft, hope that they can step in and be serviceable right off the bat and supplement the position with either a re-signed Vasquez, one of Buycks/Stone, or a stop-gap type of guy you get this summer like a Hinrich or Livingston.

Since I'm not even sold on bringing him back long term, drafting a talented PG this year is #1 priority.

Assuming we're out of the lottery and have a mid to late 1st round selection, who do people like as that possible PG that we draft? Outside of the obvious upcoming talents in this summer's draft, I really haven't paid attention to college this year.

[Axel]

Assuming we're out of the lottery and have a mid to late 1st round selection, who do people like as that possible PG that we draft? Outside of the obvious upcoming talents in this summer's draft, I really haven't paid attention to college this year.

I'd start by reading the 2014 draft thread

Zach Lavine is currently projected to go anywhere from 10th to 20th (17th on SI's big board today) and projects similar to Russell Westbrook (super athletic attacking PG).

Shabazz Napier from UConn could be there at 20 and a good option.

[ceez]

There's quite a few good PG prospects supposed to come out in the draft.

If they actually do is another story.

I'd package both our second rounders and first to move up and grab Ennis. Hometown kid yadda yadda yadda but the fact is dude can ball. He's one of the most intriguing point guard prospects i've seen in a while.

[DanH]

Blow it up. Lowry's the engine that drives this thing. Even if the team is as good as it seems of late (with the obvious exception of last night), without Lowry it all falls apart. So if he moves on, trade DD, trade Amir, trade Salmons for a bad contract and a pick, same for Hansbrough, draft BPA with our middling pick and **** hard for next year. A late start, but necessary at that point. With a couple good picks in 2015, hopefully the team looks promising enough (our high pick plus a couple middling-to-late first rounders or prospects from the trades, hopefully solid player from this year's pick, Ross and JV) to lure a max money guy or two to make that jump to the playoffs in time for the 2016 all star game. Or if that's not a concern (I'd bet it is), use 2015 cap space to take a couple shots at RFA's, take another year near the bottom, and blow the real cap room in 2016 on Durant to play with our top picks, prospects, RFA signing, and a mature JV and Ross.

[Westvleteren]

Good article on Tyler Ennis here: http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/po...n-is-unmatched
He looks like someone we could get based on draft position and non-lottery picks are cheap, which will be a huge bonus when JV and Ross finish their rookie contracts. And I love the idea of Canadians on the team from a marketing perspective.

[Mediumcore]

There are a lot of options as have been outlined by posters before me, so I would just speculate about what will happen instead.

As has been reported, the Raptors have taken Lowry off the trade block, so going forward the only option is to sign him over the summer. As this thread is about what happens if he does not sign with us you would have to assume that not trading him means MU only has an intent to compete and not blow it up or to not look for a PG in the draft, as a rookie PG rarely steps in and is NBA ready. That leaves free agent signings and trades as the only possibilities, but since there aren't any upgrades at PG in free agency it really only leaves trades.

There are 3 injured PG's, out there that would improve our team when healthy and are 2 are on teams that have blown it up or may do so. Rondo, Rose, and Westbrook. Rondo seems like the one that would be most attainable, as Celtics really aren't bashful about ****ing and Rondo hurts that. He's also known to create issues when he's not happy, so how long will he be happy with losing. Rose is coming off two season ending injuries, so Chicago which seems like a really cheap organization for being in a big market may decide to blow it up. They've already sent Deng on his way and anyone they draft will not have the same impact as Deng for a few years (if they do at all). Other than Rose being the home town kid, it makes sense for Chicago to trade him and blow it up. Lastly, Westbrook too has suffered a second injury, and OKC's window to win a championship is closing because of it, though not completely closed like Chicago's. How long does OKC, a small market team wait for Westbrook to get healthy, or do they do the prudent thing and sell off Westbrook and his near max contract for players that could help them make a title run?

Those are my picks. I think Raptors are nearly in the mode to go big or go home.

[magoon]

I'm big on Ennis as well, but we should look to draft him regardless of whether or not we re-sign Lowry, because we'll have to draft him before Lowry becomes available to re-sign anyway. Besides, Greivis isn't so impressive as a backup PG that we shouldn't look to the future.

If we can't re-sign Lowry, free agency is not the way to go because there simply aren't any decent starter-level free agent PGs next year other than Kyle; that's his biggest advantage in 2014 free agency, really, he's the best PG there is and he has no serious competition on that front. We'd have to explore trades. Viable trade targets for a starter-quality PG could include Jeremy Lin (Houston will want to shed his poison pill contract since they don't want to pay him $15m even for only an $8m cap hit) and Rajon Rondo (Boston will consider trading him, but it'll be pricey).

[ceez]

I'm big on Ennis as well, but we should look to draft him regardless of whether or not we re-sign Lowry, because we'll have to draft him before Lowry becomes available to re-sign anyway. Besides, Greivis isn't so impressive as a backup PG that we shouldn't look to the future.

yep. PG is definitely a need, regardless.

[iblastoff]

The first options that jump to mind would be:

A) Target a point guard in the draft, hope that they can step in and be serviceable right off the bat and supplement the position with either a re-signed Vasquez, one of Buycks/Stone, or a stop-gap type of guy you get this summer like a Hinrich or Livingston.

B) Grab one of the aforementioned stop-gap free agents (Hinrich, Livingston,Harris) and patch together enough minutes at the position with Vasquez/Buycks/Stone to hopefully keep the team's head above water.

C) Explore a trade for a point guard.

The first scenario would be my preferred option but has the highest amount of variance; will there be a non-point guard left on the board that Ujiri will feel he 'has' to pick? what point guards will be left when it's our time to draft? what type of quality minutes can you give a non-lottery PG in their first year?

It's a pretty sobering proposition when you think about it. As great as the recent run has been, the wheels could come off again pretty quickly this summer based on only one or two things. I think that's why some people still question whether this success is sustainable.

i HIGHLY doubt we're gonna find a serviceable point guard that high in the draft that will act as a starter that could even remotely replicate lowrys play as of late. altogether with the horrible backup pg situation we're still in, i'm not seeing the light on this one. i mean, who do we have to mentor him? vasquez? stone?? fuck no.

[vino]

There are a lot of options as have been outlined by posters before me, so I would just speculate about what will happen instead.

As has been reported, the Raptors have taken Lowry off the trade block, so going forward the only option is to sign him over the summer. As this thread is about what happens if he does not sign with us you would have to assume that not trading him means MU only has an intent to compete and not blow it up or to not look for a PG in the draft, as a rookie PG rarely steps in and is NBA ready. That leaves free agent signings and trades as the only possibilities, but since there aren't any upgrades at PG in free agency it really only leaves trades.

There are 3 injured PG's, out there that would improve our team when healthy and are 2 are on teams that have blown it up or may do so. Rondo, Rose, and Westbrook. Rondo seems like the one that would be most attainable, as Celtics really aren't bashful about ****ing and Rondo hurts that. He's also known to create issues when he's not happy, so how long will he be happy with losing. Rose is coming off two season ending injuries, so Chicago which seems like a really cheap organization for being in a big market may decide to blow it up. They've already sent Deng on his way and anyone they draft will not have the same impact as Deng for a few years (if they do at all). Other than Rose being the home town kid, it makes sense for Chicago to trade him and blow it up. Lastly, Westbrook too has suffered a second injury, and OKC's window to win a championship is closing because of it, though not completely closed like Chicago's. How long does OKC, a small market team wait for Westbrook to get healthy, or do they do the prudent thing and sell off Westbrook and his near max contract for players that could help them make a title run?

Those are my picks. I think Raptors are nearly in the mode to go big or go home.

Bold 1: history tells otherwise: Stoudamire, Iverson, Rose, Lillard... only to name a few. Yeah, these ones exploded right from the start, but in general - a good PG is good right from the get-go.

Bold 2: I'd say Bledsoe is an upgrade. It's unlikely the Suns don't match, but it's a totally different discussion

Bold 3: Ainge wants picks and he'd want several 1st rounders for a healthy Rondo. Not happening with MU values of picks, and rightfully so!

Bold 4: bunch of BS. Chicago is not trading Rose.

Another bunch of BS. OKC is not trading Westbrook or Durant. Thinking otherwise is silly at this point. More than likely Westbrook will come back as explosive as he was.

As for the general topic, my two cents: if Lowry walks... this means MU did not do a good job. Period. If MU has the slightest fear of Lowry walking for nothing... he should trade him right now, even if the price is slightly below his raised value as of late. Otherwise, it is a waste of 1st rounder we paid to get him (even if it wasn't MU himself). So, he either re-signs him (hopefully to something short and reasonable), or he trades Lowry within the next month.

[sleepz]

I'd start by reading the 2014 draft thread

Zach Lavine is currently projected to go anywhere from 10th to 20th (17th on SI's big board today) and projects similar to Russell Westbrook (super athletic attacking PG).

Shabazz Napier from UConn could be there at 20 and a good option.

There is no chance that LaVine falls to 15-20 and you wouldn't want him running your point last year as he doesn't even start for UCLA. Like his game, but he would be learning to run the point on the fly in the NBA. That's tough.

If Raps were to draft Napier with their first round pick, that would be a waste of a first rounder. Napier can run the point but he projects more as a servicable backup pg in the league.