Everything 2021 Tank

[The Claw Reborn]

They have 35 losses. We have 39. If we beat them in our remaining matchup we have the tie breaker.

So if they lose out (0-7) and end with 42 losses (0-7), we can afford 3 losses (3-3), so long as 1 of our wins is against Indy.

If they go 1-6, we can go 4-2 as long as we beat Indy.

If they go 2-5, we have to go 5-1 as long as we beat Indy.

If they go 3-4, we have to go 6-0.

Mathematically possible.

[Primer]

Against the Clippers we played 2 starters and almost won. Would be the logic.

I think the team will continue to be super careful with even the slightest bumps and bruises and will be perfectly happy if they lose, but won't intentionally sit guys out with the intention of losing (unlike earlier when they sat Lowry out for ages), until there is no mathematical possibility of making the play-in. And until then, if they overachieve with a short roster (which they are capable of), and have a shot with a couple games left, they may pull back on the injury caution/rest approach to see if they can pull it off.

Tonight is must win for us so I guess we'll see when the injury report comes out if we're actually playing to win it or not. We know Washington will be playing to win.

[golden]

They have 35 losses. We have 39. If we beat them in our remaining matchup we have the tie breaker.

So if they lose out (0-7) and end with 42 losses (0-7), we can afford 3 losses (3-3), so long as 1 of our wins is against Indy.

If they go 1-6, we can go 4-2 as long as we beat Indy.

If they go 2-5, we have to go 5-1 as long as we beat Indy.

If they go 3-4, we have to go 6-0.

This seems like a very realistic scenario..... maybe even likely.

[The Great One]

You gotta finally throw in the towel man
.355 embrace the pace ....

I don't give up that easily.

[The Great One]

This seems like a very realistic scenario..... maybe even likely.

VERY realistic. One of the worst teams in the NBA, the Kings were on a second night of a back to back last night, they were missing their 3 best players and they still completely dominated the Pacers. The score wasn't an indication of how lopsided the game was.

I don't see the Pacers winning another game. All the Raptors need to do is finish 3-3 and they're in.

If you look at the Raptors schedule, the only sure losses are the Clippers game and the Mavs game.

[G__Deane]

It's not like we're actually trying to win guys. Look at the lineups we're putting out there. Basically 2 starters per game. We're trying to make it respectable but we will absolutely not be making the play in. Expect the worst lineups possible when we play the Bulls and Pacers.

Everyone is also glossing over the fact we wanted Sacramento to win that game against the Pacers as they were closer to us in the standings. Our lotto odds got better, not worse.

The Pacers are 4-6 in their last 10 and you guys are acting like they're 0-10.

It's not hard to understand; Masai has told Nurse and the players to win as many as they can but we're going to in effect, tie one arm behind your back by sit ting starters each and every game

[The Claw Reborn]

This seems like a very realistic scenario..... maybe even likely.

You are not in the highly highly unlikely crowd i presumed lol

[KeonClark]

Must lose game tonight

[TrueTorontoFan]

Against the Clippers we played 2 starters and almost won. Would be the logic.

I think the team will continue to be super careful with even the slightest bumps and bruises and will be perfectly happy if they lose, but won't intentionally sit guys out with the intention of losing (unlike earlier when they sat Lowry out for ages), until there is no mathematical possibility of making the play-in. And until then, if they overachieve with a short roster (which they are capable of), and have a shot with a couple games left, they may pull back on the injury caution/rest approach to see if they can pull it off.

exactly

[TrueTorontoFan]

Mathematically possible.

there is a difference between possible and probable from a logic standpoint. Is it possible. Yes, it is hypothetically, and mathematically possible. Is it probably or likely. No, highly improbable.

[TrueTorontoFan]

VERY realistic. One of the worst teams in the NBA, the Kings were on a second night of a back to back last night, they were missing their 3 best players and they still completely dominated the Pacers. The score wasn't an indication of how lopsided the game was.

I don't see the Pacers winning another game. All the Raptors need to do is finish 3-3 and they're in.

If you look at the Raptors schedule, the only sure losses are the Clippers game and the Mavs game.

even teams that have given up have a moderate chance. Like I said they will win against Cleveland most likely. With the playoffs looming some of the top 3-4 teams in the eat will be more set in where they are seeding wise will likely want to rest once their fates are set. So that is the bucks, and at the end of the schedule Washington is pretty set. So let's call that a loss. Cavs is a likely win. Hawks is a maybe. Sixers May rest too. That is 3 games right there. Chicago is also finally getting Lavine back so they could be thinking the same thing. WE CNA MAKE IT and they may go full tilt. I don't think we are intentionally resting but I think we are being cautious about any injuries and letting the chips fall where they may. This is the best option too because if we happen to make it you go in relatively healthy and ready to push from there with no back-to-backs and a more regular schedule. Alternatively, if they don't make it I don't think anyone playing is unhappy or sitting around playing the blame game because of all the weird crap this year has brought. Internally the pick coming back well is likely the BEST thing that could happen too.

[planetmars]

there is a difference between possible and probable from a logic standpoint. Is it possible. Yes, it is hypothetically, and mathematically possible. Is it probably or likely. No, highly improbable.

Have you seen the Pacers schedule?

May 6 - Atlanta (B2B)
May 8 - Washington
May 10 - @Cleveland
May 11 - Philly (B2B)
May 13 - Milwaukee
May 15 - LAL
May 16 - @Toronto (B2B)

The magic number is 6. So let's say they go 2-5 (where 1-6 is far more likely). That's just bringing down the magic number to 4. Raps would have to lose 4 out of their next 6 for Indiana to take it. Here is Toronto's remaining schedule.

May 6 - Washington
May 8 - Memphis
May 11 - LAC
May 13 - @Chicago
May 14 - @Dallas
May 16 - Indiana


Indiana were losing big to the Kings. The game was in Indiana. The Kings were on a second game of a back to back, where the first game was on the road as well. And they were without Fox, Barnes and Haliburton. And their assistant coach got into a fight with a player during a timeout in a live game. A day after Woj reported that Nate's future was uncertain due to locker room and management turmoil.

Based on the injury report so far it looks like only OG and Boucher are out with Trent Jr most likely back with Lowry, Fred and Pascal.

If you haven't checked, the Raptors are actually the favourites tonight against the Wizards by -2.5. When's the last time that happened? Raps have 1 back to back, and 4 out of their 6 games are at home. Every team they play outside of the Clippers and Mavs (who are on the cusp) are either in the lottery or looking at a play in situation.

[The Claw Reborn]

there is a difference between possible and probable from a logic standpoint. Is it possible. Yes, it is hypothetically, and mathematically possible. Is it probably or likely. No, highly improbable.

If you throw a handfull of sand in the air an infinite number of times, and that sand lands on a flat surface, every configuration will happen (according to his position). For instance, the sand landing in a pattern which spells your name out is a mathematically possible outcome, and will therefore happen given enough trials.

ok

[golden]

Have you seen the Pacers schedule?

May 6 - Atlanta (B2B)
May 8 - Washington
May 10 - @Cleveland
May 11 - Philly (B2B)
May 13 - Milwaukee
May 15 - LAL
May 16 - @Toronto (B2B)

The magic number is 6. So let's say they go 2-5 (where 1-6 is far more likely). That's just bringing down the magic number to 4. Raps would have to lose 4 out of their next 6 for Indiana to take it. Here is Toronto's remaining schedule.

May 6 - Washington
May 8 - Memphis
May 11 - LAC
May 13 - @Chicago
May 14 - @Dallas
May 16 - Indiana


Indiana were losing big to the Kings. The game was in Indiana. The Kings were on a second game of a back to back, where the first game was on the road as well. And they were without Fox, Barnes and Haliburton. And their assistant coach got into a fight with a player during a timeout in a live game. A day after Woj reported that Nate's future was uncertain due to locker room and management turmoil.

Based on the injury report so far it looks like only OG and Boucher are out with Trent Jr most likely back with Lowry, Fred and Pascal.

If you haven't checked, the Raptors are actually the favourites tonight against the Wizards by -2.5. When's the last time that happened? Raps have 1 back to back, and 4 out of their 6 games are at home. Every team they play outside of the Clippers and Mavs (who are on the cusp) are either in the lottery or looking at a play in situation.

Raps will most likely beat WAS, CHI and Indiana, if that last game is for all the marbles. All Raps need to do is go 1/3 from MEM, LAC or DAL. There's your 4-2 right there. Highly doable. Clippers could be resting Kawhi, PG or both and it's a done deal.

Pacers are done. Their problems have been publicly blamed on the coach, and certified by the inscrutable Woj. They have an excuse not to play hard or play together. The only game remaining in their schedule where they would be the favorites is VS. the Cavs. That's 1-6. I don't see where they are getting that second win.

[The Claw Reborn]

It is mathematically possible Raptors will get in to the play-in than a Moron investor who missed out and now crying on spilled milk hoping that Dogecoin will go back to its 0.04 cent value which is highly unlikely lol.