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Jclaw wrote: View PostLast edited by chris; Wed Apr 13, 2022, 10:58 AM.
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gambler wrote: View Post
thanks....i stand corrected....just bad luck for scottie bcz if they announce this on friday imo he wins teh roy...i tihnk wining the rom two times to evans one wouldve sealed the deal...again...thanks for the research
i think the local media members who have votes who are primarily focused on their own markets are more likely to be influenced by the national media discourse in the weeks leading up to the vote
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Someone made a spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...KfpQ/htmlview#
It contains the award race results so far. I recreated the key thing if you don't want to click and see who voted for who so far.That puts scottie first overall thus far and with a lead. Few people are putting cade #1 because even by the numbers overall he loses the argument when you factor in his usage rate vs scottie AND mobleys. With scottie usually edging out in that argument. Then when you look at impact and impact on winning its undeniable that its scottie.Player 1st place votes 2nd place votes 3rd place votes Total Points Barnes 12 9 1 88 Mobley 8 7 2 63 Cade 3 0 14 29 - - - - - Totals 180
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chris wrote: View Post
i'm not sure how much those awards are likely to sway voters. i would hope not too much, as josh giddey won it four times.
i think the local media members who have votes who are primarily focused on their own markets are more likely to be influenced by the national media discourse in the weeks leading up to the vote
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TrueTorontoFan wrote: View PostSomeone made a spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...KfpQ/htmlview#
It contains the award race results so far. I recreated the key thing if you don't want to click and see who voted for who so far.That puts scottie first overall thus far and with a lead. Few people are putting cade #1 because even by the numbers overall he loses the argument when you factor in his usage rate vs scottie AND mobleys. With scottie usually edging out in that argument. Then when you look at impact and impact on winning its undeniable that its scottie.Player 1st place votes 2nd place votes 3rd place votes Total Points Barnes 12 9 1 88 Mobley 8 7 2 63 Cade 3 0 14 29 - - - - - Totals 180
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chris wrote: View Post
i'm not sure how much those awards are likely to sway voters. i would hope not too much, as josh giddey won it four times.
I'm with gambler, that if they'd been able to give the award a day sooner, or have the vote another day later, it certainly might've helped sway voters to make the right decision. It's so tight by so many metrics, so the fact that in the end the NBA was able to recognize, despite an impressive late season showing by Cade, even then, that Scottie has been the best/most deserving player this last month and a half. That very well could've sealed the deal and convinced those on the fence, or weighing other factors.
The good news is he's coming outta the gates well ... hopefully he won't even need it. Still a lot of votes to count yet though, and a very close call.
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GOLDBLUM wrote: View Post
That portion of your argument doesn't hold water for me. Not this season, at least. Nobody who has a vote, unless they live in OKC, is voting for Giddey. Those 4 wins are meaningless in the context of this converdsation. Everybody and anybody knows the real race was in the east alone. And in that regard, wins count out here.
I'm with gambler, that if they'd been able to give the award a day sooner, or have the vote another day later, it certainly might've helped sway voters to make the right decision. It's so tight by so many metrics, so the fact that in the end the NBA was able to recognize, despite an impressive late season showing by Cade, even then, that Scottie has been the best/most deserving player this last month and a half. That very well could've sealed the deal and convinced those on the fence, or weighing other factors.
The good news is he's coming outta the gates well ... hopefully he won't even need it. Still a lot of votes to count yet though, and a very close call.
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G__Deane wrote: View Post
I may be wrong but I don't read that as Chris saying anyone is voting for Giddey.
I'm saying, yeah, Giddey's overall wins shouldn't play any kind of factor cause 'common sense' .... But Scottie winning 2 to Mobley/Cade's 1 -- especially when Scottie won it on the home stretch of a tight, tight ROTY race... Scottie's 2 wins in the midst of the east should definitely be a factor.
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TrueTorontoFan wrote: View PostSomeone made a spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...KfpQ/htmlview#
It contains the award race results so far. I recreated the key thing if you don't want to click and see who voted for who so far.That puts scottie first overall thus far and with a lead. Few people are putting cade #1 because even by the numbers overall he loses the argument when you factor in his usage rate vs scottie AND mobleys. With scottie usually edging out in that argument. Then when you look at impact and impact on winning its undeniable that its scottie.Player 1st place votes 2nd place votes 3rd place votes Total Points Barnes 12 9 1 88 Mobley 8 7 2 63 Cade 3 0 14 29 - - - - - Totals 180 Mamba Mentality
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I think it would be nice if he won in terms of confidence, one less reason to doubt himself as a true star. (Not that I think he has so far......but who knows as a rookie in the playoffs) Of course there is the risk of trying to overplay to expectations, but he hasn't done that either.
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Dvdvideo wrote: View PostI think it would be nice if he won in terms of confidence, one less reason to doubt himself as a true star. (Not that I think he has so far......but who knows as a rookie in the playoffs) Of course there is the risk of trying to overplay to expectations, but he hasn't done that either.
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GOLDBLUM wrote: View Post
He's saying Rookie of the month wins shouldn't be factored into decision making for ROTY... citing Giddy having 4 wins as a reason why.
I'm saying, yeah, Giddey's overall wins shouldn't play any kind of factor cause 'common sense' .... But Scottie winning 2 to Mobley/Cade's 1 -- especially when Scottie won it on the home stretch of a tight, tight ROTY race... Scottie's 2 wins in the midst of the east should definitely be a factor.
like, if i were a hawks beat writer who only considers the other 29 teams 2 to 4 times a year when the hawks play them, i would take in a range of opinions of national media members who get paid to cover the league as whole (assuming i didn't have time to do a deep dive on every candidate, although i hope any voter does do some amount of their own research).
i would not have the last ROTM result as any sort of tie breaker, because the ROY is an annual award (ie. if cade won the last two you still have to consider his horrid start) and you have to consider the contexts of the ROTM awards (ie. the west crop was weaker so giddey won 4 times).
but that's just me. you and the gambler could very well be right
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