Would it be so bad if we missed the playoffs?
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ebrian wrote: View PostWould it be so bad if we missed the playoffs?
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I dunno. Counting zero moves, I think there's a very strong possibility of missing the playoffs. Based on what we saw after the all-star break, I would think there's at least a handful of people including myself who expects to miss the playoffs. That's my expectation, based on what we did -- 13-16 after the break and then in 0-4 in the playoffs. So this means we had a 39.4 winning percentage over the last 33 games including playoffs. Extrapolate that over 82 games and you have 32 wins. That would have put us in a tie for 12th in the East.
A season like that would do a number of things for us. First it would probably reveal a lot of weaknesses that might not be evident after a 49-win season. This includes coaching, player and roster weaknesses/flaws. Second, it would result a significantly better draft pick. Third, making the playoffs gives upper management a false sense that the team is "good enough". We simply are not good enough, and missing the playoffs (and loss revenue) will throw a big magnifying glass on the team.your pal,
ebrian
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peanutwoozle wrote: View PostOne thing is for sure though, letting Lou Williams walk will be addition by subtraction."My biggest concern as a coach is to not confuse winning with progress." - Steve Kerr
"If it's unacceptable in defeat, it's unacceptable in victory." - Jeff Van Gundy
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Just Is wrote: View PostThat's the thing; I like Lou (and he absolutely can be a valuable piece). I just don't like Lou with Casey.
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peanutwoozle wrote: View PostIt's just that Lou doesn't fit with this team, him and Vasquez together is like Turkoglu and Calderon together, or Curry and Randolph together it just won't work.
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peanutwoozle wrote: View PostIt's just that Lou doesn't fit with this team, him and Vasquez together is like Turkoglu and Calderon together, or Curry and Randolph together it just won't work.
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ebrian wrote: View PostI dunno. Counting zero moves, I think there's a very strong possibility of missing the playoffs. Based on what we saw after the all-star break, I would think there's at least a handful of people including myself who expects to miss the playoffs. That's my expectation, based on what we did -- 13-16 after the break and then in 0-4 in the playoffs. So this means we had a 39.4 winning percentage over the last 33 games including playoffs. Extrapolate that over 82 games and you have 32 wins. That would have put us in a tie for 12th in the East.
A season like that would do a number of things for us. First it would probably reveal a lot of weaknesses that might not be evident after a 49-win season. This includes coaching, player and roster weaknesses/flaws. Second, it would result a significantly better draft pick. Third, making the playoffs gives upper management a false sense that the team is "good enough". We simply are not good enough, and missing the playoffs (and loss revenue) will throw a big magnifying glass on the team.
2015-16
1 Cleveland 61 wins
2 Boston 53 wins
3 Atlanta 50 wins
4 Chicago 47 wins
5 Indiana 47 wins
6 Brooklyn 46 wins
7 Miami 41 wins
8 Washington 38 wins
9 Toronto 37 wins
10 Detroit 32 wins
11 Milwaukee 31 wins
12 Charlotte 30 wins
13 Orlando 25 wins
14 Knicks 20 wins
15 Philly 17 winsTwo beer away from being two beers away.
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Mess wrote: View PostSome funky things happen when you extrapolate using an arbitrary cutoff date and counting zero moves and reasoning. These are expected win totals based solely on the team records after the All Star break. Now this isn't proof of anything and it's pretty likely a pointless thing to do, but I do think that the Raptors winning as few as 37 games is about as likely as Boston winning 53 and Brooklyn winning 46.
2015-16
1 Cleveland 61 wins
2 Boston 53 wins
3 Atlanta 50 wins
4 Chicago 47 wins
5 Indiana 47 wins
6 Brooklyn 46 wins
7 Miami 41 wins
8 Washington 38 wins
9 Toronto 37 wins
10 Detroit 32 wins
11 Milwaukee 31 wins
12 Charlotte 30 wins
13 Orlando 25 wins
14 Knicks 20 wins
15 Philly 17 wins
If we used that logic for this season (considering our very strong finish in 2013-14) then we should have been a much better team than we ended up being. A half a season sample size is not a very good predictor of future success.
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peanutwoozle wrote: View PostOne thing is for sure though, letting Lou Williams walk will be addition by subtraction.
One of the reasons for our oncredibke starts that few people mention is how broken the system was to start the year...yet despite that Lou was so hot that he won every second game by going off.
I hate Lou but I got to give him props for winning quite a few for us at the beginning of the year
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OldSkoolCool wrote: View PostIf we lose Lou we lose another 15 games in the W column.
One of the reasons for our oncredibke starts that few people mention is how broken the system was to start the year...yet despite that Lou was so hot that he won every second game by going off.
I hate Lou but I got to give him props for winning quite a few for us at the beginning of the year
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