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Carroll on minute restriction: "Its going to be up to a lot of guys. Theres like 5 people in 1 room. If one person says no, they all say no"
— Josh Lewenberg (@JLew1050) April 11, 2016
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Only one thing matters: We The Champs. -
Yeah, but...MixxAOR wrote: View Post
Carroll: "Knowing coach Casey, once playoffs start all that minute restriction going to go out the door because it's your season, do or die"
— Josh Lewenberg (@JLew1050) April 11, 2016
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Didn't the doctors say he won't do damage to his knee by playing? The only issues would be pain and swelling?If we knew half as much about coaching an NBA team as we think, we"d know twice as much as we do.Comment
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He won't make that injury worse by playing, but that doesn't mean that 'pain and swelling' won't cause him to overcompensate and hurt himself in another way.3inthekeon wrote: View Posttwitter.com/anthonysmdoyleComment
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So the team should bench him despite doctors clearance?Barolt wrote: View PostIf we knew half as much about coaching an NBA team as we think, we"d know twice as much as we do.Comment
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No, but they should be careful not to overplay him, especially since we have a lot of depth at his position. There's middle ground between 'play him 35 minutes' and 'don't play him at all'. We need him to still be playing in the ECF if we get there.3inthekeon wrote: View Posttwitter.com/anthonysmdoyleComment
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Yeah, which is why I'm not too worried.3inthekeon wrote: View Post
But if we want any chance of Carroll actually lasting to the ECF (if we are so successful as to get there), we can't be running him out there for 35 MPG like early in the year. Just asking for trouble.Comment
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On the subject of player injuries, I found this today on ESPN (Insider) - very interesting.
http://espn.go.com/nba/insider/story...-come-playoffsNew research by Hisham Talukder and Thomas Vincent, who presented a paper called "Preventing In-Game Injuries for NBA Players" at this year's MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, offers some hope. Talukder and Vincent bonded over their mutual interests in sports and analytics when they were data scientists at Dow Jones. They applied a machine-learning technique called "Random Forests" to statistics for NBA regulars who sustained a combined 500 injuries in the 2013-14 and 2014-15 seasons. (Random Forests classify data by putting random pieces of it through thousands of decision trees, hence the name.) And they found that the most important factors contributing to a player's injury risk are his average speed, the number of games he plays, the average distance he covers and his average minutes. In short, workload is critical -- but so is playing style. "Physical variables -- how much you run and how fast -- are good indicators for injury," Talukder says
By isolating key factors, Talukder and Vincent were able to build a predictive statistical model. The chance that an NBA player will get hurt over a random seven-day stretch is about 5 percent. But if he logs a lot of minutes and plays at a blistering pace, his odds can triple or quadruple -- which is what happened to Derrick Rose just before he reinjured his knee in February 2015. Overall, the 20 percent of players carrying the most projected risk suffered 60 percent of the actual injuries that Talukder and Vincent studied. It's these athletes who need extra rest.
With the playoffs about to begin, Talukder and Vincent say the active players carrying the highest injury risk include Russell Westbrook of the Thunder, Marvin Williams of the Hornets and Paul Millsap of the Hawks. The end of the regular season is when you give these guys time off -- and when trainers should make sure they aren't overlooking minor injuries. "We can't predict specific injuries," Vincent says. "We can identify high-risk players, and then it's up to teams to do something about them."If we knew half as much about coaching an NBA team as we think, we"d know twice as much as we do.Comment
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I linked the pdf of that study in an earlier discussion about resting Lowry a week or two ago.3inthekeon wrote: View Posttwitter.com/anthonysmdoyleComment
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No, that would be the correct approach. Playoffs are do or die. What else are you saving him for? You're not gonna end his career by giving him 30 minutes, and he's got all summer to recoverrocwell wrote: View Post9 time first team all-RR, First Ballot Hall of ForumComment
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You don't go conservative planning for the eastern conference finals. You go balls to the wall to get out of round 1. You were about the ecf if and when you reach the ecfBarolt wrote: View Post9 time first team all-RR, First Ballot Hall of ForumComment
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