Everything (2016-2017) Regular Season Game Threads

[tDotted]

Probable Starters

Toronto
PG - Kyle Lowry
SG - DeMar DeRozan
SF - DeMarre Carroll
PF - Pascal Siakam
C - Jonas Valanciunas

Philadelphia
PG - Sergio Rodriguez (maybe, gastroenteritis)
SG - Gerald Henderson
SF - Robert Covington
PF - Ersan Ilyasova
C - Joel Embiid (maybe, elbow)

Performance tracker: odds of Raptors winning game = 99.9%

That looks better

[KeonClark]

You flashbacked that far? Scola was a starter all last season. It's up to the GM to just not sign old useless vets if the coach can't control himself.

Yep, masai has learned that vet's vets are like crack cocaine to casey. Nobody over 30 (that isn't an all star) for you!

[rocwell]

I need to analyze this Raptors teams for real. Something strange is happening. How the hell we made our tough schedule look easy? Way too easy. +

We're NBA's best bet at the moment. Since that Rudy Gay trade, we've performed really well against the spread, but now.. Raps are something else against Vegas spreads, 11-1 in L12 games. I never seen anything like this and I've been following NBA betting world since 2011.

[007]

Let's just keep this streak rolling!

[Abbas]

Demar and Kyle play less than 31mins each

Raptors win
119-97

Embiid shows flashes of great - 15/10/3/3/1

[KeonClark]

I hope embiid plays, I wanna see how jv does against him

[rocwell]

Demar and Kyle play less than 31mins each

Raptors win
119-97

Embiid shows flashes of great - 15/10/3/3/1

"Flashes of great"?

i think he's great. Hope he can stay healthy, this league needs dominant bigs

[Raptorsnz]

You flashbacked that far? Scola was a starter all last season. It's up to the GM to just not sign old useless vets if the coach can't control himself.

At least Casey was smart enough to only play Scola at the start of each half, he was regularly ending games with Salmons and Anderson.

[DanH]

FYI, for those interested, based on my model:

Expected ORTG for an average team in this game: 103.7
Expected DRTG for an average team in this game: 104.6

Raptors ORTG in this game: 130.7 (!)
Raptors DRTG in this game: 104.7

Offensive performance: +25.6
Defensive performance: -1.5

Crazy good offensive performance.

Pythagorean win projection now at 66. Model win projection now at 58.

[Jangles]

Dan, I have to ask, why is the math slightly off from the expected, our actual and the difference when you post these numbers? 103.7 - 104.7 = -1.5? What am I missing?

[DanH]

Dan, I have to ask, why is the math slightly off from the expected, our actual and the difference when you post these numbers? 103.7 - 104.7 = -1.5? What am I missing?

The expected ORTG and DRTG don't take into account the home/away and back to back adjustments. They get added in at the performance stage. In this case, no back to back factor, but the Raps get penalized 1.4 points on each end for playing at home. I also messed up the Expected ratings and flipped them, so that's a problem, too.

So the calculation is:

Defensive Performance = Expected DRTG - DRTG - Home/Away = 104.6 - 104.7 - 1.4 = -1.5

[LJ2]

Is it time to not just trust in Masai, but to trust in Casey as well? I mean regardless of how you feel about different components of his game calling he keeps getting results. Outside of those bizarre two losses to Sacramento, we've not lost to anyone you would expect us not to lose to. I'm loving this team right now. They have a clear plan of how they want to play and are executing it.

[Jangles]

Thanks for that Dan

[Chr1s1anL]

I hope embiid plays, I wanna see how jv does against him

You shouldn't wish things like that on JV. Embiid will take him out to the perimeter.

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[mjt20mik]

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