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jimmie wrote: View PostYeah, if it's a given that he won't stay, you don't make the trade. What makes you think a year in Toronto will change his mind?
If you can't change his mind, then what was the point at all? This is NBA2K talk, not real franchise management. Again, it would be exciting to see Toronto be part of a big trade like this and to see the best player ever to put on a Raptors uniform (if he's healthy and stays healthy), for sure, and best case scenario, making it to the Finals for the first time. But that's for fans. If I'm a GM, I need more assurance that this move isn't a one-year wonder.
There's no guarantee that they don't make the Finals this year anyway, without a trade; it's quite possible they do better than last year simply by running it back without having to go through Lebron. If Kawhi comes, buys in, and is healthy, they're better than last year on paper, and maybe it makes beating Boston and Philly easier, but it doesn't even make it a lock, especially if you're sending out 2/3 or 3/4 of your bench and backfilling with the likes of Giddy Potts and Malachi Richardson.
In other words, if you think there's a very good chance that Leonard is a rental and leaves in July, what was the point of having him for one year? The base premise here is that's it's far less likely you can change his mind than the opposite. He seems like a pretty stubborn dude by this point.
It is a given that as of this summer, Leonard's current intention is to go to LA next summer. The Raptors would have a full season to change that. Exactly the same bet that OKC made with George and won. I think the Raptors odds of pulling it off are lower, but the reward is also WAY higher.
The point is, the chances of getting a player of Leonard's quality in the near future if we don't try this are basically zero. The odds if we do try it, are not zero. That is the point. The alternative (and the destiny we are currently facing down in the next few seasons anyway) is a tank to the bottom to try to get a top talent in the draft. Which is the outcome of losing out on this Leonard bet anyway.
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white men can't jump wrote: View PostIf you're going to end up having to make big changes starting next summer, then yes, it's not a big deal.
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Hotshot wrote: View PostSo?! Doesnt mean the points that were raised in the interview are not legit.
Bringing a perennial MVP candidate to a 59-win team makes them a top-end team.twitter.com/anthonysmdoyle
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gk17 wrote: View PostI would prefer to get something in return for Demar. Wouldn't be bad to have something to start with - even if big changes are coming: a prospect, picks,..
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suspenders wrote: View PostMy uneducated guess is that the Spurs would see better value in JV, Poetl, OG + future pick(s), rather than DeMar. And they'd take Ibaka...Definition of Statistics: The science of producing unreliable facts from reliable figures.
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Also, listening to that Sean Deveney interview, 99% of what he says is conjecture. He speaks to the personality of Kawhi and who he is, but Sean Deveney isn't a personal friend of Kawhi. He speaks to the people around Kawhi, but Sean Deveney isn't one of the people around Kawhi.
He's speaking based on rumors and conjecture and what the rest of us know. He says literally nothing that tells me he has knowledge we don't.
And he's a Boston guy, so of course he's against the idea of the Raptors getting a superstar.twitter.com/anthonysmdoyle
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DanH wrote: View PostWhat? Please, READ the posts. At no point did I say it was a given he would go. No one has said that.
It is a given that as of this summer, Leonard's current intention is to go to LA next summer. The Raptors would have a full season to change that. Exactly the same bet that OKC made with George and won. I think the Raptors odds of pulling it off are lower, but the reward is also WAY higher.
The point is, the chances of getting a player of Leonard's quality in the near future if we don't try this are basically zero. The odds if we do try it, are not zero. That is the point. The alternative (and the destiny we are currently facing down in the next few seasons anyway) is a tank to the bottom to try to get a top talent in the draft. Which is the outcome of losing out on this Leonard bet anyway.
If someone like Giannis becomes available, those two won't be the dealbreakers in a trade. And if a guy like that doesn't become available in the next two seasons, then we are rebuilding and will start hording assets and capspace anyway. Kawhi is a guy like that and could be available now. It is minimal risk for where the Raps are right now.
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One thing that brings me back to earth with a sad reality that my man jimmie up here pointed out during his post
The 59 win Toronto Raptors could run it back, upgrade with a top 5 player in Kawhi, and our ceiling for 2019 does not change one bit.
As of right now our ceiling is win the East and get thumped in the finals. With Kawhi, our ceiling is win the East and..maybe win 1 game in the finals?
Depressing9 time first team all-RR, First Ballot Hall of Forum
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KeonClark wrote: View PostOne thing that brings me back to earth with a sad reality that my man jimmie up here pointed out during his post
The 59 win Toronto Raptors could run it back, upgrade with a top 5 player in Kawhi, and our ceiling for 2019 does not change one bit.
As of right now our ceiling is win the East and get thumped in the finals. With Kawhi, our ceiling is win the East and..maybe win 1 game in the finals?
Depressing
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KeonClark wrote: View PostOne thing that brings me back to earth with a sad reality that my man jimmie up here pointed out during his post
The 59 win Toronto Raptors could run it back, upgrade with a top 5 player in Kawhi, and our ceiling for 2019 does not change one bit.
As of right now our ceiling is win the East and get thumped in the finals. With Kawhi, our ceiling is win the East and..maybe win 1 game in the finals?
Depressing
Who knows, maybe we get to the Finals with Kawhi, Warriors get an injury or 3
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gk17 wrote: View PostI would prefer to get something in return for Demar. Wouldn't be bad to have something to start with - even if big changes are coming: a prospect, picks,..
It is a big risk to keep him in that sense. Another season with this group...what if DeMar again struggles in the playoffs only further cementing his reputation as a guy who can't win in the postseason? His value goes down.
Honestly I think if he had that value now, Masai would have traded him. Probably wasn't able to generate any attractive offers this summer and that is not likely to get better next year, especially when you add DeMar's contract situation and that he could then be viewed as a rental no one wants to pony up for.
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