Hey if there's any stat nerds on this site, can you help me out with this discrepancy?

So I was under the impression that NBA.com's net rating is simply points scored/100 possessions (Offensive RTG) - points allowed/100 possessions (Defensive RTG).

The problem is that it doesn't match up with the actual average margin of victory that's posted in ESPN's standings.

So for instance ESPN has an average point differential of +8.7 for the Raptors and +8.6 for the Warriors. Whereas NBA.com's net rating has a net rating of +10.6 for the Warriors and +8.3 for the Raptors.

Now that's okay because the net ratings are adjusted for pace of the team so you'd expect the numbers to be different. Except - the Warriors play at a quicker pace than the Raptors, at about 102.5 possessions a game to about 100.5 possessions a game. So actually when you adjust for pace, the point differential change is in the Raptors favour, if they win by 8.7 points in 100.5 possessions, with two more possessions to match the Warriors pace on average they will win by more points per game.

So there's something going on here that I'm missing explaining a difference of like 2.5 points of net efficiency. Can someone explain what that is?

So I was under the impression that NBA.com's net rating is simply points scored/100 possessions (Offensive RTG) - points allowed/100 possessions (Defensive RTG).

The problem is that it doesn't match up with the actual average margin of victory that's posted in ESPN's standings.

So for instance ESPN has an average point differential of +8.7 for the Raptors and +8.6 for the Warriors. Whereas NBA.com's net rating has a net rating of +10.6 for the Warriors and +8.3 for the Raptors.

Now that's okay because the net ratings are adjusted for pace of the team so you'd expect the numbers to be different. Except - the Warriors play at a quicker pace than the Raptors, at about 102.5 possessions a game to about 100.5 possessions a game. So actually when you adjust for pace, the point differential change is in the Raptors favour, if they win by 8.7 points in 100.5 possessions, with two more possessions to match the Warriors pace on average they will win by more points per game.

So there's something going on here that I'm missing explaining a difference of like 2.5 points of net efficiency. Can someone explain what that is?

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