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Dread it. Run from it. A rebuild still arrives.

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  • MixxAOR
    replied
    If the tank starts they need to be patient with it. Raptors have never been patient. If we draft a guy with All-Star potential don't rush to build around him and try to win with him. Tank until you get someone really special

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  • Rudy Bargnani
    replied
    Do you subscribe to the theory it will take a year to test it down?
    That we get more for these contracts a year from now as expiring?

    Edit typed this before seeing your more recent posts
    Last edited by Rudy Bargnani; Wed May 9, 2018, 12:44 PM.

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  • Shaolin Fantastic
    replied
    Hmm I actually kinda see your point DanH.

    If we try to tank next year we might not be able to offload enough guys and end up with like the 10th pick.

    If we trade DeMar for assets and run it back with a new coach, we probably win worst case high 40s, lose in the playoffs again but the following summer Lowry/Ibaka/JV's value is higher so we can get more picks back for them than we would now. Then we can go for a last place finish in 2019-20.

    I get it, you've convinced me. Trade DD, new coach, keep Lowry/Ibaka. Rev up the tank in 2019-20.

    Leave a comment:


  • DanH
    replied
    Shaolin Fantastic wrote: View Post
    Yeah I wanted to squeeze that in, I realize it makes no sense because we basically have doctorates in losing, particularly in the mid-late 90s and from about 2004-2013.
    We never lost intensely enough for it to matter. Sadly, with this team, I doubt we'll be able to lose intensely enough this time either.

    Leave a comment:


  • DanH
    replied
    Wins next year will be largely irrelevant, in terms of a rebuild. They won't be getting into the lottery, and even in the extreme won't be getting far into the lottery.

    If they want to rebuild, the target time for that would be next summer or the summer after, as that's when they'd be most likely to move pending RFA's from their youth to avoid having that quality of player on the team for the bad years.

    The key this year is selling assets that are currently maximized (such as DeMar, IMO), competing enough to make a tax bill feasible (so as not to have to shed assets to cut costs), and holding onto contracts that could be greater assets next summer (Lowry, Ibaka, JV as expirings).

    I don't think an immediate rebuild is the path they will or should take - they have too many quality players and are in no danger of slipping to the dreaded middle ground of borderline playoff team. I'd like to see them shake up what they have, see if they can push the ceiling up with a different coach and out from under the effect of a flawed high volume scorer (who contributed a lot to their unfortunately hard capped success), and decide from there whether they can be successful building from that starting point or whether they need to take a dive down the standings (which would still be tough then, but far easier than now).

    Leave a comment:


  • Shaolin Fantastic
    replied
    S.R. wrote: View Post
    I love this line. We have one of the worst franchise win percentages in the NBA.
    Yeah I wanted to squeeze that in, I realize it makes no sense because we basically have doctorates in losing, particularly in the mid-late 90s and from about 2004-2013.

    Leave a comment:


  • S.R.
    replied
    Shaolin Fantastic wrote: View Post
    In time, we must learn what it is like to lose. That time is now.
    I love this line. We have one of the worst franchise win percentages in the NBA.

    Leave a comment:


  • Shaolin Fantastic
    started a topic Dread it. Run from it. A rebuild still arrives.

    Dread it. Run from it. A rebuild still arrives.

    This team as currently constructed with this core, regardless of any interchanging you want to do with Kyle, DeMar, Ibaka, will never win an NBA championship. We lack the requisite superstar talent to reach that goal. To get that talent, due to our status as a non-destination city in the NBA, we must go through the draft (or trade, but atm we lack the assets necessary to pull that off). Even if we run it back we're not going to get anywhere (and the challenge will be even stiffer with BOS and PHI on the come-up) and we'll just be delaying the inevitable. We should get started now on the process.

    We need a tear-down and at least get started on shipping the guys who will add unnecessary wins to this team next year who have little to no upside (Lowry, DD, Ibaka and probably JV as well) out of here. They all need to go. DeMar can net a good return, Ibaka and Lowry will probably require us to take back bad salary along with a pick or prospect (which is fine because we're not FA players anyway), JV I'm not sure exactly.

    If we want to win championships we need to get young potential superstars. This won't be like the late 90s though. If we get a Vince or T-Mac, we have the infrastructure now with Masai, Raptors 905, smart overall management to build around them and build a powerhouse in the NBA. It has to be done. I know we've enjoyed this run of no longer being the worst team in the NBA, watching the likes of Bargnani lead us to 20 win seasons, but it's time to scrap it and move forwards with some of our young guys and our eyes on the NBA draft.

    In time, we must learn what it is like to lose. That time is now.
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