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Maury wrote: View PostI think people are underrating Blake here. He’s definitely a top 5 guy in the conference, and people forget that 3 years ago the guy was a top 5 player in the league. Casey is a solid coach and can get that group to win. I might be wrong but I can see them getting 36-40 wins and slipping in.
Essentially you're saying they'll squeak in without improving. It could happen. The East looks like it's going to be a massive dumpster fire this year. Cleveland is going to be a lot worse. Most other teams are basically the same without a major shakeup. The teams that probably got the most obviously better are us and Boston, so it does little to impact the fringe playoff teams that will be fighting for the lower seeds.
I don't think Griffin ever was a top 5 player. Paul was the key player on the Clippers team and the only one in discussion for top 5 at any time. Griffin is like a top 20 player, and his game isn't aging well. He is still also undisciplined and can be really dumb on the court. Can't see Casey making a massive difference.
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white men can't jump wrote: View PostThat basically equates to them not getting better at all since they usually win around that many games.
Essentially you're saying they'll squeak in without improving. It could happen. The East looks like it's going to be a massive dumpster fire this year. Cleveland is going to be a lot worse. Most other teams are basically the same without a major shakeup. The teams that probably got the most obviously better are us and Boston, so it does little to impact the fringe playoff teams that will be fighting for the lower seeds.
I don't think Griffin ever was a top 5 player. Paul was the key player on the Clippers team and the only one in discussion for top 5 at any time. Griffin is like a top 20 player, and his game isn't aging well. He is still also undisciplined and can be really dumb on the court. Can't see Casey making a massive difference.
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I was trying to start doing this, and got extremely uninterested when I looked at the non-contenders in each conference.
The East is so weak after the top 2 if both Toronto and Boston are healthy. Philly could be a strong 3rd seed, or Embiid could get injured and they'll struggle to win 30-35 games. Milwaukee has the best chance to surprise because of Giannis and some low key moves like probably improving their coach, and getting more shooting in the frontcourt with Lopez and Ilyasova. No one else has the right combination of stars and depth to matter.
And in the West, Golden State makes it uninteresting. If they are healthy come playoffs, no one is likely to beat them.
So, assuming things go best for all teams:
East
1. Toronto
2. Boston
3. Philly (if things go as well as possible with Fultz, he'll make up for the shooting they lost in Beli and Ilyasova)
4. Milwaukee
5. Indiana
6. Washington
7. Miami
8. Detroit
9. Charlotte
West
1. Golden State
2. Houston
3. Oklahoma city
4. Utah
5. San Antonio
6. Los Angeles Lakers
7. Minnesota
8. Portland
9. New Orleans
10. Denver
The West is a mess from 3 to 10. No clue how any of that will play out. I do think Portland will drop with other teams getting better (Utah, SAS, LAL). I think those will be the 8-10 teams battling for the last spot. New Orleans is pretty bad without Davis, and if he misses even 10 games, that could break their playoff chances. Denver could make it, but their D is so bad that they could fall short. Still, I could easily see them flipping spots with Portland, who has a pretty flawed roster.
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Hold on hold on. There`s obviously a lot of predictions up there and all that could be discussed... but okc?! You really think they`re 10th seed or worse? I mean, sure, they weren`t close to as good as anyone expected last year and flamed out in the playoffs and all, but damn. Would like to hear more of your reasoning behind that
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Bonus Jonas wrote: View PostWhy are people assuming Detroit are gonna make the playoffs
Reggie Jackson is the most inconsistent point guard in the league
Their wing depth is 2 3-point shooting young guys, neither of which are good defensively
Their bench is non existent (Ish smith and Stanley Johnson)
They didn’t have a first round pick
They didn’t make any signings that’ll actually make differences (Calderon and Zaza lmao)
They had essentially the same winning percentage before and after the Griffin trade
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This season is going to be tough to predict.. at least after the top two/three in each conference. But I'll take a stab:
EC:
1. Toronto
2. Boston
3. Indiana
4. Philly
5. Milwaukee
6. Miami
7. Washington
8. Cleveland
9. Detroit
10. Brooklyn
11. Charlotte
12. Chicago
13. Orlando
14. NY
15. Atlanta
WC:
1. Houston
2. Golden State
3. Utah
4. OKC
5. LA Lakers
6. Portland
7. Denver
8. San Antonio
9. Memphis
10. New Orleans
11. Minnesota
12. Dallas
13. LA Clippers
14. Phoenix
15. Sacramento
The West is going to be wild from 3-13.
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