To begin with Bosh puts up some very good scoring and rebounding numbers, however let us look a little deeper into those numbers
In the games that Bosh played the Raptors were 35 - 35. Over the course of the season when Bosh was on the court the Raptors did no better than break even points wise with their opponents. See "One Year Unadjusted Ratings" on link below.
Okay so one would say that the rest of the team stunk and without Bosh the Raptors would have been lucky to win 20 games. That seems like a reasonable argument. But does that make Bosh a "Max Contract" player.
Lets try a comparison, I am sure Apollo will have plenty to say about this.
Most Raptors fans agree that Johnson is probably worth about $4 - $5 million a year. Some say less but I don't know of any that say more. So let us go with $4.5 million a year in the first year of his contract. That seems reasonable. Now lets look at how the Raptors did when Johnson was on the court.
Johnson played in all 82 games about 18 minutes a game. Most of those minutes were as a key rotation player and usually the first big off of the bench. So certainly most of minutes weren't garbage minutes.
For the year per 100 possessions when Johnson was on the court the Raptors actually outscored their opponents by 2 points per 100 possessions, the most by any Raptors player. Well one could argue that most of those minutes were bench minutes and they would not translate if he started. Given his high foul rate I think that that argument seems reasonable.
However, lets see what Johnson actually did when he was given a chance to start. To begin with the Raptors were 3 - 2 in the games that he started. Yes the three wins were against the Knicks and Pistons but they were still wins. In those 5 games Johnson averaged 33 mpg which are acceptable starters minutes. He also averaged 18 ppg and 6 rpg while shooting 70% from the field. In addition while he was on the court during those five games that he started the Raptors outscored their opponents by 8.2 ppg. Now this is a small sample but there is no evidence to suggest that this would not extrapolate if he started more games given that he averaged 33 mpg as a starter.
In any case this is not about Johnson but about Bosh. If we all agree that Johnson is worth $4.5 million next season or maybe even a little less, yet the Raptors performed better as a team when he was on the court than when Bosh was on the court and even better when Johnson started, is Bosh really worth a "Max Contract"
After all as some Raptors fans have pointed out Johnson was only a 18 mpg "scrub" last season.
http://basketballvalue.com/teamplaye...=DESC&team=TOR
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/...h49f4DPOg9PaB4
In the games that Bosh played the Raptors were 35 - 35. Over the course of the season when Bosh was on the court the Raptors did no better than break even points wise with their opponents. See "One Year Unadjusted Ratings" on link below.
Okay so one would say that the rest of the team stunk and without Bosh the Raptors would have been lucky to win 20 games. That seems like a reasonable argument. But does that make Bosh a "Max Contract" player.
Lets try a comparison, I am sure Apollo will have plenty to say about this.
Most Raptors fans agree that Johnson is probably worth about $4 - $5 million a year. Some say less but I don't know of any that say more. So let us go with $4.5 million a year in the first year of his contract. That seems reasonable. Now lets look at how the Raptors did when Johnson was on the court.
Johnson played in all 82 games about 18 minutes a game. Most of those minutes were as a key rotation player and usually the first big off of the bench. So certainly most of minutes weren't garbage minutes.
For the year per 100 possessions when Johnson was on the court the Raptors actually outscored their opponents by 2 points per 100 possessions, the most by any Raptors player. Well one could argue that most of those minutes were bench minutes and they would not translate if he started. Given his high foul rate I think that that argument seems reasonable.
However, lets see what Johnson actually did when he was given a chance to start. To begin with the Raptors were 3 - 2 in the games that he started. Yes the three wins were against the Knicks and Pistons but they were still wins. In those 5 games Johnson averaged 33 mpg which are acceptable starters minutes. He also averaged 18 ppg and 6 rpg while shooting 70% from the field. In addition while he was on the court during those five games that he started the Raptors outscored their opponents by 8.2 ppg. Now this is a small sample but there is no evidence to suggest that this would not extrapolate if he started more games given that he averaged 33 mpg as a starter.
In any case this is not about Johnson but about Bosh. If we all agree that Johnson is worth $4.5 million next season or maybe even a little less, yet the Raptors performed better as a team when he was on the court than when Bosh was on the court and even better when Johnson started, is Bosh really worth a "Max Contract"
After all as some Raptors fans have pointed out Johnson was only a 18 mpg "scrub" last season.
http://basketballvalue.com/teamplaye...=DESC&team=TOR
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/...h49f4DPOg9PaB4
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