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Draft Express Situational Stats - The Centers

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  • Draft Express Situational Stats - The Centers

    Here is what Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations for DraftExpress wrote about the Centers that have been discussed on Raptors Republic as a possible Raptors pick at #13

    •Cole Aldrich resembles, in some ways, the solid role-playing he center projects to be at the next level from a situational perspective.

    At 9.8 possessions per-game, Aldrich didn’t see too many looks on Kansas’ loaded roster, but his 1.037 PPP overall ranks him well above average in our sample, as do his low 11.9% turnover percentage and 11.9% shots-fouled percentage.

    With the ball getting worked around to make sure all of KU’s options got their touches, Aldrich relied on post possessions for his offense. He got nearly 60% of his possessions down low, scoring a third ranked 1.029 PPP in the process. He also turned the ball over at the second lowest rate (8.7%). Clearly, Aldrich’s decisive approach and size were too much for most college big men to handle.

    Despite the fact that Kansas removed number of quick hitter plays that afford Aldrich some easy baskets as a junior from their playbook, he finished 82.6% of the shots resulting from basket cuts. Easily the top-ranked finisher in the top-5 at 1.318 PPS, Aldrich’s low usage didn’t afford him the opportunity to put up huge scoring numbers, but he looked solid in a role that very well could be similar to the one he’ll play next season, and could benefit from getting more of his touches as a finisher instead of being forced to create in the post.
    •Daniel Orton didn’t see many touches last season, and even with limited touches, looks underwhelming on paper.

    Anyone following Daniel Orton’s situation knows that his draft projection is not a byproduct of his production last season. Orton ranks last in usage at 4.2 possessions per-game, as well as overall PPP at 0.809, and turned the ball over more than anyone else (21.7%). Despite his limited touches, Orton still struggled to play efficient basketball.

    Orton ranked below average in PPP in every situation, and shot a concerning 53.1% from the field in finishing situations. The composition of Orton’s touches weren’t radically different than some of the other players in our rankings, with 50% of his touches coming from post ups or offensive rebounds. Ultimately, Orton is a player who you have to watch to appreciate, and even then, remains a bit of project on the NBA level. The tools are there, and Orton didn’t struggle to display them last season, but he did struggle to use them efficiently.
    •Hassan Whiteside is one of the more intriguing players in this draft, and you can see why from his situations statistics.

    With a usage of 12.8 possessions per-game that ranks him just above average, Whiteside scored on a very solid 56.8% of his overall touches and turned the ball over at a low 13% rate.

    Whiteside received just 27% of his touches in the post, one of the lowest marks on our center rankings. Despite that fact, he scored 61.1% of those touches, good for third on our list. He was fouled on 16.1% of those shots, ranking him second. Whiteside was able to make a nice impact on the block despite his lack of lower body strength, showing a nice hook shot and unique touch for a player his age.

    Outside of the post, Whiteside used his length to generate 2.9 possessions per-game from offensive rebounds (3rd). Showing impressive versatility, 26% of Whiteside’s shot were jumpers, the top mark in our sample. Making 40% of those shots and finishing at a highly respective 64.1% clip, Whiteside is one of the most unique talents in this draft. His ability to score from the outside at his height is incredible, he was one of the most impressive shot blockers in the NCAA last season, and shows the potential to score in multiple situations.

    • Solomon Alabi ranked above average in PPP off of cuts, pick and rolls, and offensive rebounds. However, post ups accounted for more than 50% of his total offensive possessions and he shot the third worst percentage in this group with his back to the basket (37.3%). He did manage to draw fouls on a well above average 21.6% of those shots, but his lack of polish is clear though his 1.35 PPP as a finisher is a testament to the outstanding physical tools that give him so much upside. His 1.33 PPS on jumpers (albeit on a fairly small sample size) indicates that he has more potential in this part of the game that he was likely able to show at the college level.
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