Well, I make a statement that Drew Gooden is overpaid with his new Milwaukee deal and whoa... Many wondered what this may mean for Amir Johnson's deal - and then the debate began (including someone who spoke of my data being manipulated! Wow.).
Of course, they're different players - different styles. However, it's an interesting comparison nonetheless.
So here we go - Drew vs Amir:
I "manipulated" these stats on a 25 min basis. Why? Drew played 25 per game last year and is not getting any younger. Late in the season - with Bosh out - Johnson consistently played >25 minutes. His numbers show an average of 4.4 PF over 25 min, so it's reasonable that he can generally stay in the game that long.
What we see is fairly comparable stats. Gooden's pts are higher, but off a low percentage - Gooden has the 21st WORST FG% of players 6'9" and over - out of a sample of 145. Johnson was the 4th BEST out of the sample. Gooden was better on the boards, with Johnson being better in Ast, Stls, and lower turnovers. Of course, Amir's issue is fouling and certainly is well above Drew. So perhaps does he foul more as he's more active on the defensive end? Does he impact the game at this end - despite the fouls?
This may help. While "unadjusted", it's pretty clear that one player is at one end of the spectrum and one is near the other. I added a few other players to show how poor our D was last year - and who the main culprits may have been (Bargnani and Turkoglu) and why I'm not huge on obtaining Beasley.
We know that a NBA player's peak age is somewhere in the 25-28 age - more importantly we know a player generally declines significantly in his 30s. Drew Gooden will be 29 when the season starts. Amir Johnson will be 23 years old.
I had the opportunity to meet and chat with Drew Gooden a few years back. A truly great man to talk to and I'm happy he received such a lucrative deal. The purpose of the post is only help look at the debate of the relative value of Johnson vs Gooden.
Note: this data comes directly from basketballvalue.com - only the presentation was changed (no, not manipulated!)
Of course, they're different players - different styles. However, it's an interesting comparison nonetheless.
So here we go - Drew vs Amir:
I "manipulated" these stats on a 25 min basis. Why? Drew played 25 per game last year and is not getting any younger. Late in the season - with Bosh out - Johnson consistently played >25 minutes. His numbers show an average of 4.4 PF over 25 min, so it's reasonable that he can generally stay in the game that long.
What we see is fairly comparable stats. Gooden's pts are higher, but off a low percentage - Gooden has the 21st WORST FG% of players 6'9" and over - out of a sample of 145. Johnson was the 4th BEST out of the sample. Gooden was better on the boards, with Johnson being better in Ast, Stls, and lower turnovers. Of course, Amir's issue is fouling and certainly is well above Drew. So perhaps does he foul more as he's more active on the defensive end? Does he impact the game at this end - despite the fouls?
This may help. While "unadjusted", it's pretty clear that one player is at one end of the spectrum and one is near the other. I added a few other players to show how poor our D was last year - and who the main culprits may have been (Bargnani and Turkoglu) and why I'm not huge on obtaining Beasley.
We know that a NBA player's peak age is somewhere in the 25-28 age - more importantly we know a player generally declines significantly in his 30s. Drew Gooden will be 29 when the season starts. Amir Johnson will be 23 years old.
I had the opportunity to meet and chat with Drew Gooden a few years back. A truly great man to talk to and I'm happy he received such a lucrative deal. The purpose of the post is only help look at the debate of the relative value of Johnson vs Gooden.
Note: this data comes directly from basketballvalue.com - only the presentation was changed (no, not manipulated!)
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