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Jay Satur's 2 part Q/A with Alex Rucker. Remember him? Raps' Analytics guy.

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  • Jay Satur's 2 part Q/A with Alex Rucker. Remember him? Raps' Analytics guy.

    http://blog.raptors.com/q-a-with-alex-rucker/

    Part 1:

    TORONTOOOOOO RAPTORSSSSSS

  • #2
    Couple of things jump out at me. "...but there is a massive difference between being a public analyst with access to public data and then working with an organization where there’s an exponential increase in data available to you."

    And "...there is basically no good data about defence in the public sphere. If you as a public analyst want to understand defence, good luck. The data just is not there...I’ll read articles about defensive rating or steals or blocks. Those all indicate something, I don’t know that it’s correct to say that you can take those things together and say that it gives you an idea about a guy’s defence. For some guys yes, for some guys no, but then the problem is that it’s not a correlation that’s a meaningful thing."

    So when Bryco and company target a particular player, it may be that the stats indicate it is a very favourable acquisition, within the context of the type of offence/defence the Raptors want to run, even though a lot of fans go "WTF?"

    And the comments about the lack of correlation between publicly available defensive stats (steals/blocks) and a players actual defensive effectiveness might be pertinent to any discussion on James Johnson. I don't know that it is, but if he really was a defensive stopper, maybe he wouldn't be gone, or maybe there were other huge downsides to keeping him.

    Looking forward to part two.

    Comment


    • #3
      Pretty interesting stuff. If you consider that most of us have used the stats that are avaiable to us to make or dispute an argument on the mainpage or forum this kind of says that those stats don't necessarily represent the truth.

      Comment


      • #4
        Puffer wrote: View Post
        Couple of things jump out at me. "...but there is a massive difference between being a public analyst with access to public data and then working with an organization where there’s an exponential increase in data available to you."

        And "...there is basically no good data about defence in the public sphere. If you as a public analyst want to understand defence, good luck. The data just is not there...I’ll read articles about defensive rating or steals or blocks. Those all indicate something, I don’t know that it’s correct to say that you can take those things together and say that it gives you an idea about a guy’s defence. For some guys yes, for some guys no, but then the problem is that it’s not a correlation that’s a meaningful thing."

        So when Bryco and company target a particular player, it may be that the stats indicate it is a very favourable acquisition, within the context of the type of offence/defence the Raptors want to run, even though a lot of fans go "WTF?"

        And the comments about the lack of correlation between publicly available defensive stats (steals/blocks) and a players actual defensive effectiveness might be pertinent to any discussion on James Johnson. I don't know that it is, but if he really was a defensive stopper, maybe he wouldn't be gone, or maybe there were other huge downsides to keeping him.

        Looking forward to part two.
        +1

        I was thinking the same about Johnson.

        Comment


        • #5
          I found it interesting how Rucker's point about the lack of reliable Euro data seems to directly counter BC's Euro-heavy draft & free agent record. I wonder what access Toronto and the rest of the league have to the more high profile international competitions, e.g. Olympics, FIBA, etc?

          Comment


          • #6
            dunphyj wrote: View Post
            I found it interesting how Rucker's point about the lack of reliable Euro data seems to directly counter BC's Euro-heavy draft & free agent record...
            BC's Euro-heavy draft record may reflect his connection with European coaching staff and GMs. His Dad wasn't afraid to take on staff from Europe and Bryan has maintained those connections and made more of his own. In that sense, over the years he may have had an in that a lot of other NBA executives didn't,

            Comment


            • #7
              CT2010 wrote: View Post
              Pretty interesting stuff. If you consider that most of us have used the stats that are avaiable to us to make or dispute an argument on the mainpage or forum this kind of says that those stats don't necessarily represent the truth.

              Comment


              • #8
                Part 2 of the interview:

                http://blog.raptors.com/q-a-with-alex-rucker-pt-2/

                Comment


                • #9
                  Nilanka wrote: View Post
                  Another great article. wish it had been longer. Looks like Rucker and his team were instrumental in both the Fields and Lowry acquisitions. According to him the Raps had their eye on Fields well before Steve Nash was getting the come hither look from NY.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Puffer wrote: View Post
                    Another great article. wish it had been longer. Looks like Rucker and his team were instrumental in both the Fields and Lowry acquisitions. According to him the Raps had their eye on Fields well before Steve Nash was getting the come hither look from NY.
                    I would love to be lurking in the background of the "war room" to hear exactly how these internal discussions go down. Very interesting stuff.

                    Comment

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