I think its worth noting that perceptions doesn't make a metric untrue (or true for that matter).
If I used a metric that said Bargnani was a negative producer on the floor 3-4 years ago how many would have said the metric is wrong? If I used that same metric today?
Two other things particularily in regards to Parker, but also all players in general:
- some of the valuations seems to be based on projections
- the magnitude of difference is marginal as we move down the list.
Chris Paul = 15.9 WARP vs Russel Westbrook (ranked #2) = 11.7 WARP for a difference of 4.2
Tony Parker = 7.1 WARP vs Deron Williams (ranked #5) = 9.9 WARP for a difference of 2.8
Tony Parker = 7.1 WARP vs Kyle Lowry (ranked #8) = 8.1 WARP for a difference of 1
There is a significantly decreasing scale as the list moves down. The list not holding true at the top can definetely raise flags, but the list not holding true as we move down the rankings could easily be small projections not holding true.
If I used a metric that said Bargnani was a negative producer on the floor 3-4 years ago how many would have said the metric is wrong? If I used that same metric today?
Two other things particularily in regards to Parker, but also all players in general:
- some of the valuations seems to be based on projections
Parker's standing represents a slip, but he'll turn 32 during the playoffs next season. That's a rough age for a guard historically speaking, and Parker's forecast sees a regression to what he was before his spike the last two seasons. He's still at 7.1 WARP, which put him in the top 10 of every other position except power forward.
Chris Paul = 15.9 WARP vs Russel Westbrook (ranked #2) = 11.7 WARP for a difference of 4.2
Tony Parker = 7.1 WARP vs Deron Williams (ranked #5) = 9.9 WARP for a difference of 2.8
Tony Parker = 7.1 WARP vs Kyle Lowry (ranked #8) = 8.1 WARP for a difference of 1
There is a significantly decreasing scale as the list moves down. The list not holding true at the top can definetely raise flags, but the list not holding true as we move down the rankings could easily be small projections not holding true.
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