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Seriously though, 10M per year would be great. With the cap jumping up, I'm not nearly as concerned about re-signing him as I was at the start of this year.
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From ESPN, http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/story...e-nba-playoffs
The insights of analytics are constantly changing because the market is constantly changing. As teams smarten up about the payoffs of certain shots, they'll become more sought after on the open market. It's Economics 101. And as demand for certain types of players rises, so, too, will the price of those players.
At some point, the 3-point shooting bubble will burst and other shots will become more valuable. There is a natural cycle to these things. In the same way that players with high on-base percentages ceased to be a market inefficiency after "Moneyball" became a national bestseller, guys like Kyle Korver will be making $10 million annually, not the current $6 million. And then the market will react.
And soon, the midrange shot won't be passé for long.
"That's the very nature of market dynamics," Morey says. "Its question is not 'What is the best shot?' It's 'What is the best relative to what everyone else thinks?' That's the challenge that you're trying to solve."
Right now, the market doesn't regard a midrange shooter like Aldridge. But that can change. The NBA is a copycat league. If the Blazers beat the Rockets in this series thanks to Aldridge's midrange game and eventually make a run at a championship? Soon enough Aldridge will be a trailblazer, regardless of whether he plays for Portland.
I think DD's midrange game has value, especially as defenses move to take away the paint and the three."Bruno?
Heh, if he is in the D-league still in a few years I will be surprised.
He's terrible."
-Superjudge, 7/23
Hope you're wrong.
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stooley wrote: View PostFrom ESPN, http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/story...e-nba-playoffs
I made a thread about this sometime in Decemberish.
I think DD's midrange game has value, especially as defenses move to take away the paint and the three.
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DanH wrote: View PostI agree. His midrange game has value, if it is used in that way, as an outlet from a paint/three attack, used in situations where the defense has buckled and the midrange shot is open. Used in isolation, it can be detrimental instead.
Mind you, the team needs to also have sufficient 3 point shooting and an inside presence, but I think the Raptors do. I was looking at some chart and the raptors are in the bottom third of the league in mid range jump shots taken
The mid-range shot, like the rest of basketball, is a grey area.
Portland ranks in the top 3 teams for mid-range jumpshots taken, and Aldridge alone has taken more than the Rockets have this year, but Portland's still winning the series right now.
Now, I'm not saying DD is LMA, because he's not, just expanding on the discussion.Last edited by stooley; Thu Apr 24, 2014, 10:08 AM."Bruno?
Heh, if he is in the D-league still in a few years I will be surprised.
He's terrible."
-Superjudge, 7/23
Hope you're wrong.
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DanH wrote: View PostI agree. His midrange game has value, if it is used in that way, as an outlet from a paint/three attack, used in situations where the defense has buckled and the midrange shot is open. Used in isolation, it can be detrimental instead.
I say "almost" because sometimes, that shot goes in.
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stooley wrote: View PostFrom ESPN, http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/story...e-nba-playoffs
I made a thread about this sometime in Decemberish.
I think DD's midrange game has value, especially as defenses move to take away the paint and the three.
There's a lot wrong with an ISO-oriented, inefficient midrange game that forces too many contested shots.
One thing I absolutely agree with is that these trends are too often considered in a vacuum, out of context (as many stats are, in general). Analytics might tell a story, but you have to ensure that any particular story suits the strengths of the personnel on your roster, within the context of how your team is defended. There is an opportunity cost associated with every shot; yes, shot A might be a 'good' shot analytically, but is it still a 'good' shot when it's being taken by a player who doesn't necessarily excel at that type of shot, against a defense trying to prevent that type of shot, when a potentially better shot could readily be available?
As trends for offense proliferate around the league, so to does the defensive trend designed to stop that offensive trend. It really shouldn't be a surprise that early adopters find the most success, or that new ideas emerge once a trend becomes too trendy.
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Also, Aldridge is hardly trailblazing here. Bosh has been doing the same thing for MIA the past 3 years, and they've gotten 2 championships out of it. Yes, they also had LBJ, but Bosh's stretch 4/5 game is VERY key to their success.
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CalgaryRapsFan wrote: View PostThere's nothing wrong with a good midrange game.
There's a lot wrong with an ISO-oriented, inefficient midrange game that forces too many contested shots.
One thing I absolutely agree with is that these trends are too often considered in a vacuum, out of context (as many stats are, in general). Analytics might tell a story, but you have to ensure that any particular story suits the strengths of the personnel on your roster, within the context of how your team is defended. There is an opportunity cost associated with every shot; yes, shot A might be a 'good' shot analytically, but is it still a 'good' shot when it's being taken by a player who doesn't necessarily excel at that type of shot, against a defense trying to prevent that type of shot, when a potentially better shot could readily be available?
As trends for offense proliferate around the league, so to does the defensive trend designed to stop that offensive trend. It really shouldn't be a surprise that early adopters find the most success, or that new ideas emerge once a trend becomes too trendy.
Here's the original article
http://grantland.com/features/expect...nba-analytics/
And the subsequent RR thread
http://www.raptorsrepublic.com/forum...Make-EPVA-StatHeir, Prince of Cambridge
If you see KeonClark in the wasteland, please share your food and water with him.
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Heck, Chris Paul was at his best when he was operating with David West as his stretch 4 pop guy.
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3inthekeon wrote: View PostA PF with a good midrange game also draws defenders away from the basket, opening up the most efficient scoring area. A SG taking midrange jumpers doesn't have the same effect."Bruno?
Heh, if he is in the D-league still in a few years I will be surprised.
He's terrible."
-Superjudge, 7/23
Hope you're wrong.
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DanH wrote: View PostAlso, Aldridge is hardly trailblazing here. Bosh has been doing the same thing for MIA the past 3 years, and they've gotten 2 championships out of it. Yes, they also had LBJ, but Bosh's stretch 4/5 game is VERY key to their success.
Aldridge typically isn't even that efficient usually.. he's just been crazy hot, like...scorching inferno hot so far this series.
I like a good midrange game, but like said above, depends how you get those shots.
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BigCamB wrote: View PostDirk anyone?
Aldridge typically isn't even that efficient usually.. he's just been crazy hot, like...scorching inferno hot so far this series.
I like a good midrange game, but like said above, depends how you get those shots.
Made like 30% of his shots or something, but he was pulling Howard out of the paint."Bruno?
Heh, if he is in the D-league still in a few years I will be surprised.
He's terrible."
-Superjudge, 7/23
Hope you're wrong.
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stooley wrote: View PostI think Aldridge was actually pretty crappy in game 1 from midrange.
Made like 30% of his shots or something, but he was pulling Howard out of the paint.
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